Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 4.330480 4.727736 5.167640 5.695444 6.317735 7.036190 7.940675
2025-11-23 3.806339 4.333834 4.961845 5.781034 6.847830 8.231600 10.240851
2025-11-30 3.460557 4.041927 4.765993 5.763646 7.155922 9.126429 12.344219
2025-12-07 3.131047 3.716799 4.467860 5.541236 7.113059 9.484699 13.734668
2025-12-14 2.862804 3.438621 4.192893 5.300901 6.985097 9.660939 14.853772
2025-12-21 2.719146 3.308318 4.098487 5.295719 7.195867 10.408554 17.314874
2025-12-28 2.584967 3.178093 3.989099 5.250176 7.327517 11.041341 19.850838
2026-01-04 2.423858 2.999177 3.795286 5.053495 7.176094 11.113472 21.120538
2026-01-11 2.333596 2.912420 3.726400 5.041803 7.335944 11.823690 24.498970
2026-01-18 2.288070 2.884915 3.740604 5.161433 7.744706 13.160487 30.938524
2026-01-25 2.425758 3.128799 4.181642 6.043901 9.792610 19.246335 70.428286
2026-02-01 2.293503 2.965539 3.976789 5.778287 9.448278 18.921559 74.343545
2026-02-08 2.158851 2.803284 3.781029 5.544474 9.212848 19.084806 86.193676
2026-02-15 2.094738 2.745396 3.750687 5.614542 9.681791 21.778602 149.691661
2026-02-22 2.020975 2.667420 3.680161 5.598520 9.948065 24.035844 276.538806
2026-03-01 1.918541 2.539368 3.517423 5.386308 9.691431 24.158564 376.264311
2026-03-08 1.821091 2.414720 3.353269 5.156740 9.354093 23.807067 473.269991
2026-03-15 1.770220 2.360648 3.304776 5.151786 9.596439 26.210721 2107.579178
2026-03-22 1.716801 2.299840 3.240675 5.108250 9.728608 28.285390 NaN
2026-03-29 1.643560 2.204450 3.111794 4.920105 9.428418 27.912061 NaN
2026-04-05 1.603334 2.160302 3.069595 4.908914 9.629245 30.598182 NaN
2026-04-12 1.584903 2.150246 3.086195 5.023383 10.228264 36.741900 NaN
2026-04-19 1.665117 2.305403 3.410526 5.865516 13.538038 82.863103 NaN